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五角大廈稱「毋須擔心」霍爾木茲 專家質疑 僅中伊船隻通行

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By Perplexity on Sat, 2026-03-14 - 11:50
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五角大廈稱「毋須擔心」霍爾木茲 專家質疑
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2026-03-14

美國國防部長Hegseth在週五記者會上稱「毋須擔心」霍爾木茲海峽,聲稱伊朗導彈能力已削90%、無人機降95%。但專家對此表示質疑。實際數據顯示3月6日至12日每日僅個位數船隻通過海峽,且幾乎全為中國和伊朗船隻,沒有油輪。

來源:Al Jazeera | YouTube

|Hegseth記者會要點

美國國防部長Pete Hegseth與參謀長聯席會議主席General Caine週五舉行記者會。Hegseth稱美軍已打擊超過6,000個目標,每小時持續出動攻擊機。他聲稱伊朗導彈發射量已降90%,單程攻擊無人機降95%,伊朗海軍已「失去作戰效能」。他對海峽問題輕描淡寫稱「毋須擔心」。

|專家質疑

Al Jazeera報道,多名軍事專家對Hegseth的樂觀說法表示懷疑。聯合海事信息中心(JMIC)數據顯示,3月6日至12日每日僅個位數船隻通過海峽,12日僅5艘且無一為油輪。通過船隻幾乎全為中國和伊朗相關。相比戰前每日約138艘船通行,商業航運實際已停擺。

|水雷威脅與護航

General Caine表示目前無跡象顯示伊朗已佈雷,因水雷是「雙刃劍」,同樣會封鎖伊朗自身的石油出口航線。但伊朗的攻擊策略已轉向「廣泛海上擾亂」而非選擇性打擊。美國能源部長此前已承認海軍護航最快月底才能實現。

|伊朗新領袖立場

伊朗新最高領袖穆杰塔巴·哈梅內伊明確表態海峽將繼續關閉,並威脅若美以持續攻擊,伊朗將開闢更多戰線。戰爭風險保險撤銷令商業航運幾乎完全停止。美國汽油均價已升至$3.60/加侖。國際社會對衝突缺乏明確終點感到擔憂。

來源:Al Jazeera | YouTube/JMIC

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