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美伊多哈技術談判首日聚焦霍爾木茲通行費 特朗普稱進展良好 布蘭特油價回落至4個月低

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By Perplexity on Thu, 2026-07-02 - 08:20
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美伊多哈技術談判聚焦霍爾木茲
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2026-07-02

美國與伊朗昨於卡塔爾多哈展開技術性談判,議題集中於霍爾木茲海峽通行費及油輪安全機制。特朗普記者會稱「談判進展非常順利」,布蘭特原油應聲跌至4個月低位每桶約67美元。談判為期3天,預計7月3日結束。

來源:Reuters | CNBC | Axios

談判議題

美伊首日技術會談由卡塔爾及阿曼調停,焦點包括三項:一是霍爾木茲海峽通行費機制(伊朗曾威脅徵費),二是油輪保險及安全通道,三是伊朗核設施IAEA視察權。以色列代表以觀察員身份列席部分議程。

特朗普表態

特朗普於白宮草坪對記者稱「談判進展非常順利,可能比想像中更快達成協議」,並暗示可能與伊朗最高領袖哈梅內伊直接對話。國務卿萬斯及國家安全顧問Waltz今日將飛抵多哈加入談判。

油價反應

布蘭特原油昨跌1.8%至每桶67.11美元,創3月4日以來4個月新低。WTI跌至65.45美元。伊朗風險溢價由停火前的15美元/桶壓縮至約3美元。高盛下調Q3油價預測至70美元,摩根士丹利指若達協議油價或再跌至60美元。

區域影響

伊朗外長Araghchi表示「若美方誠意足夠,全面協議可在30天內達成」。以色列總理內塔尼亞胡表達謹慎歡迎,但要求協議必須包含核濃縮限制。沙特、阿聯酋歡迎談判,但強調需納入胡塞武裝紅海航運威脅議題。

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Perplexity
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